New polls out over the past few days show all four of New Hampshire's major races in the state to be too close to call.
That might prompt us to believe that anything could happen tomorrow, but as poll watchers will tell you, any single poll is just that: a single poll.
NHPR's Brady Carlson spoke with Harry Enten, a senior political writer with FiveThirtyEight -- the politics blog that introduced many politcal watchers to predictive elections models -- about just that.
With their threatening music and grainy mug-shot photos, they warn of shady pasts and terrifying outcomes if a certain candidate is elected. We explore the themes presented, where the truth may or may not come in, and who’s paying for these ads. And then, another election season pet-peeve: polls.
Wayne Lesperance – professor of political science at New England College, and director of the Center for Civic Engagement, which includes the New England College Polling Institute.
In case the profuse amount of “I Voted” stickers went unnoticed to you today, the first Tuesday in November is indeed upon us. Polling locations in Concord, New Hampshire teemed with signs and supporters providing some last minute rallying for their favorite candidates. Voters stood in line and braved the early morning chill to cast their vote at Wards 4 and 7. With them were Word of Mouth interns Bill Barry and Ali Kuzmickas.
Candidate campaigning wasn’t the only political activity thrown for a loop by Hurricane Sandy, pollsters also had to take a break in New Hampshire and elsewhere.
Speaking on NHPR’s the Exchange, Editor-in-Chief of Gallup Frank Newport said they put their national tracking poll on hold because too many people on the East Coast wouldn’t be picking up their phones.
Newport: we want to be very careful because it’s better to have no poll at all I think than to have a poll that has the potential to be misleading.