All Things Considered
5:47 pm
Tue October 7, 2014

Granite Geek: Wanna Bet That Predictive Markets Are More Accurate Than Polls?

You know the election season is gearing up when pollsters and survey researchers start calling residents, trying to gauge where the electorate stands on the issues and the candidates of 2014.

Politicians are, of course, quick to remind us that the only poll that matters is the one on election day, but there’s some evidence that another method, used regularly in the UK, may provide a clearer picture of where a campaign is headed than a traditional poll.

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NH News
3:12 pm
Fri May 9, 2014

Dartmouth Poll Finds Voters Support Several Initiatives Doomed In Statehouse

2014 Rockefeller Center State of the State Poll

Dartmouth college has released its annual “State of the State” poll which finds support for a number of issues that didn’t make it out of the legislature this year.

The poll found statistically significant support for casino gambling, stricter gun laws, marijuana decriminalization, and a constitutional amendment prohibiting discrimination based on sexual orientation. All of these issues generated legislation in New Hampshire this year but no policies will change.

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All Things Considered
6:30 pm
Mon April 15, 2013

The Demographics Of Disagreement On Climate Change

Hamilton collaborated with the state climatologist Mary Stampone to determine how the temperature on the day that surveys were done effected the accuracy of respondents on climate knowledge questions. Democrats and Republicans were unaffected, but independents' answers varied widely, becoming more accurate the more out of whack the weather was.
Credit Larry Hamilton and Mary Stampone / Weather, Climate and Society 2013

  Last week the UNH Survey Center released the latest findings of the Granite State Poll. The Survey Center has been following a number of issues recently, the most high profile of which is whether or not there’s public support in New Hampshire for a proposed casino.

The Survey Center has also been part of a project looking at public attitudes about climate change – namely, why there’s a consensus among scientists – but not the public - that global warming is happening and caused by human activity.

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Elections 2012
4:59 pm
Tue November 6, 2012

Record Turnout in Nashua

Amherst St. School in Nashua
Credit Sheryl Rich-Kern

Polling stations in Nashua opened at 6 AM this morning. And many stood patiently long before the sun appeared.

With temperatures hovering around 30 degrees, at least 150 voters wrapped around the Amherst Street School building before dawn.

Arthur Barrett is the town’s moderator.

He says by around 10 AM, almost 1500 had already cast their ballots.

He compares this turnout to that of 2008:

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Elections 2012
4:21 pm
Tue November 6, 2012

Voters in Nashua Have Their Say

Voters at Ward 3 in Nashua
Credit Sheryl Rich-Kern

Record numbers of voters lined up this morning at the polls in Nashua.

Priscilla Betses of Nashua is in her late 70s and has been voting she was 18.

That’s a lot of election cycles. But she says this one stands out.

It’s too negative. They’re spending an awful lot of money of advertising. I’ll be happy when it’s over. Too many robo-calls and TV and the whole bit.

Octogenarian Liona Wilson has voted since before World War II and shares similar concerns:

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Elections 2012
9:26 pm
Mon October 22, 2012

WMUR/UNH Poll Finds Obama Holds Lead, Romney Lags With Women

UNH Survey Center / WMUR Granite State poll

The latest poll from WMUR and the UNH Survey Center shows President Obama maintaining a slight lead over Governor Mitt Romney in the Granite State.

UNH Pollster Andy Smith says the latest poll shows that there is still an enthusiasm gap, with more Republican voters feeling fired up about the election, but..

Smith: Obama has a 59 percent to 34 percent lead among women, Romney has a smaller lead among men, so the gender gap is there but advantaging the president right now.

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Elections 2012
4:42 pm
Fri October 5, 2012

Latest Granite State Poll Predicts Democrats Taking State House And Senate

WMUR Granite State Poll

The latest WMUR Granite State Poll predicts that if the election were held tomorrow, New Hampshire Democrats would win a majority in the State House and the Senate.

UNH survey center pollster Andy Smith says his model predicts 14 Democrats and 10 Republicans in the Senate, and 204 Democrats to 196 Republicans in the House.

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