Elections 2012
4:42 pm
Fri October 5, 2012

Latest Granite State Poll Predicts Democrats Taking State House And Senate

The latest WMUR Granite State Poll predicts that if the election were held tomorrow, New Hampshire Democrats would win a majority in the State House and the Senate.

UNH survey center pollster Andy Smith says his model predicts 14 Democrats and 10 Republicans in the Senate, and 204 Democrats to 196 Republicans in the House.

Smith: We found that over the years this estimate has been within 5 to 10 seats on the house side and on the senate side our similar estimate has been within one senate seat, so it’s pretty good.

Smith cautions that the election is still a month away, and UNH will be doing this poll two more times before the vote.

Recent UNH polls have shown big leads for President Obama over Mitt Romney and Carol Shea-Porter over Frank Guinta.

Former Governor John Sununu recently panned UNH’s polling, saying they oversampled Democrats. Andy Smith responded that the university’s polls have been found to have little partisan bias and those who criticize them generally do so because they don’t like the results.