Tue October 23, 2012
UNH Poll Points To Hassan Win In Gubernatorial Race, Democratic Majorities In House And Senate
The second in a series of polls out this week from WMUR and the UNH Survey Center predicts that Democrats will win the governorship and majorities in both the House and Senate.
This is the fourth poll in a row that shows a widening lead for Democrats in the “generic ballot” question: that’s to say “will you be voting for the Democrat or the Republican in your local House or Senate race?”
The poll also shows Democrat Maggie Hassan up over Republican Ovide Lamontagne by 8 points, with 22 percent of voters undecided and a 3.5 percent margin of error. That’s the widest lead yet for Hassan in the race for Governor, after the last poll showed her trailing by four points.
If the election were held tomorrow this poll predicts the Democrats would not only take the governor’s seat, but a 14 to 10 majority in the State Senate and a 30 seat majority in the State House of Representatives.
The survey does caution that the actual results on election night will be highly dependent on voter turnout.